Orders and fills

How Do I Know If a Stock Is Too Illiquid to Trade?

Liquidity is a question about you as much as the stock. The test is what it costs to get your size in and out, measured against what you planned to risk.

Short answer

Check the spread as a percentage of price, how many shares are displayed near the bid and ask, the stock's average daily volume against your order size, and whether time and sales shows long gaps between trades. Then work out the round-trip spread cost as a share of your planned risk and compare it with a threshold you set for yourself.

Take a stock quoted 4.10 bid, 4.20 ask. The spread is ten cents. On a 4.15 midpoint that is 0.10 / 4.15, or about 2.4% of the price, gone the moment you buy at the ask and value the position at the bid.

Now a stock quoted 50.00 bid, 50.02 ask. Two cents on 50.01 is 0.02 / 50.01, about 0.04%.

Both spreads look small written in cents. As a share of price, one is roughly sixty times the other.

The four checks

1. Spread as a percentage of price. Divide the spread by the midpoint. Cents mean nothing without the price beside them, a point the site makes at more length in share price is not value.

2. Size at the quote. How many shares are displayed at the bid and ask, and a few levels behind them? A Level 2 quote shows this for the venues it covers. If the displayed size at the bid is smaller than your planned position, your exit will have to reach deeper, at worse prices, unless hidden orders happen to be there.

3. Volume against your order. Compare your share count with the average daily volume. Say you want 1,000 shares of a stock that averages 20,000 a day. Your order is 1,000 / 20,000, or 5% of a whole day’s trading, and getting out quickly on a bad day means asking the market to absorb, in a few minutes and probably at falling prices, an amount that normally takes a meaningful slice of the whole session to change hands.

4. Gaps in time and sales. Watch the tape for a few minutes. Long pauses between prints, trades in tiny sizes, and prices that jump several cents from one print to the next all tell you the book is thin.

No single check settles it. A tight spread with almost nothing displayed can still be a trap.

The sum that decides it

Liquidity only matters relative to what you plan to make or lose. So measure the spread against your risk.

In the first trade a third of your risk budget is spent before the stock moves at all. And that assumes a normal spread on exit, which in a thin stock under pressure is the very thing you cannot count on, since the spread tends to widen exactly when you most want to sell.

You can run the same numbers, with your own stop and size, in the trade risk worksheet.

Setting your own threshold

There is no universal cutoff. It depends on your holding period, how far your stops sit and how big your orders are.

A threshold stated as a share of risk travels well across stocks. For example, you might decide that the round-trip spread must be under a tenth of planned risk and that your order must be a small fraction of average daily volume, then skip anything that fails either test. The exact figures are yours to set, and worth writing down so they hold on a day when a thin stock is moving and you want in.

Filtering out illiquid names also shrinks the watchlist, which has its own benefits, as argued in watch fewer stocks.

When a thin stock is still worth trading

Sometimes the setup justifies the cost. If you trade one anyway, use limit orders on both entry and exit, size down so the displayed bid can absorb your whole position, and expect partial fills that leave you managing an odd-sized position. Check the spread again before you exit. It may have changed.

Also asked

Is a low share price a sign of low liquidity?
Not by itself. Plenty of low-priced stocks trade heavily and some high-priced ones trade thinly. Measure the spread and the volume directly.

Put it to work